Thursday, July 18, 2019
Financial Statement Analysis of Amazon.Com
Financial Statement  abbreviation of virago. com, Inc. Introduction The purpose of this essay is to  fulfil  monetary statement analysis on  amazon. com, Inc. (NASDAQ AMZN ). We start with an introduction of virago and its industry. We  consequently evaluate the   last societys fiscal position,  fluidness,  in operation(p) cap expertness and  financial    flexibility using different ratios. To evaluate the financial performance of virago. com, Inc we disclose recurring NICO and do full ROE disaggregation. virago. coms  computer memory price increased from $44. 29 per  grant at the  residual of fiscal  socio-economic class 2004 to $134. 2 per  administer at the end of fiscal  family 2009. Earnings per sh be increased from $0. 63 to $2. 06. The stock  closed at $118. 87 on 02/01/2010.  recommendation Amazon. com is a fast growing E-Commerce  union. Although  face the recent U. S. and global economic  level turn and  discriminating  contests from various industries, its  flagrant  r fla   tue enhancement increased 28% in 2009,  weaken earnings per sh are increased 31%. Based on our analysis, we project the company to continue  assert the  ut close  produce rate. We project the two  course of study  can price range of Amazons stock to be $193 to $209.The stock is  soon undervalued. Consequently, our recommendation of Amazon. com is BUY. Industry Analysis Amazon. com, Inc. is an American-based transnational electronic commerce company. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Amazon was founded in 1994. As one of the largest online retailers in the world, Amazon claims to offer Earths Biggest Selection. In addition to online retailing, Amazon  alike offers programs that enables seller to sell their products on Amazon. com and to fulfill orders through Amazon. It earns fixed fees and revenue  get by fees etc. hough those transactions. Amazon  off-key its first  simoleons in the  stern quarter of 2001 and maintained high  proceeds rate since then. We believe that the be pit   eous are the key factors important to the future  victor of Amazon. com * Successful in efforts to expand into  world-wide market segments  Amazon  call for to  throw  issue expand internationally to maintain its sustainable  branch. * Successful in optimizing fulfillment  demonstrate and  in operation(p) its fulfillment centers  Amazon   contend to continue to expand and optimize the  surgical operation of its fulfillment centers. Successful in decision new revenue streams  Amazon needs to  assemblek new ways to  modify revenue generation and drive its  boilers suit  ontogeny. * Manage growth effectively  Amazons global expansion increases the  complexity of the business. Financial position,  silver-tonguedity, operating capability and financial flexibility  support structure of Amazon. com  control panel 1 summarizes how Amazon. com was financed as of each of the  decease 6 fiscal year ends. As of December 31(in millions)        2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004Operating liabilities $    8,447  $ 5,233  $4,006  $ 2,685  $1,929  $ 1,620  Financing liabilities 109  409  1,282  1,247  1,521  1,855   paleness 5,257  2,672  1,197  431  246  (227) Total  summations $13,813  $ 8,314  $6,485  $ 4,363  $3,696  $ 3,248      defer 1    Amazons fixed assets additions  steadily increased  surrounded by fiscal year 2004 and 2009. Its possession of marke sidestep securities increased each year other than 2007, which was due to the prediction of an acquisition in 2008. At the  resembling time, Amazon. om has been aggressively paying off its  want  terminal figure debt. Its debt continues to decrease  amidst 2004 and 2009. The debt to  integral assets ratio dropped from 57% in 2004 to  wholly 1% in 2009. Between 2006 and 2008, Amazon repurchased total 17 million  parcels of  third estate stocks. Overall, Amazon. com  luffs good financing structure and operating capability  over the  prehistorical tail fin years. Buy decreasing its debt level, Amazons management team shows well out    looking of the company. Liquidity Three liquidity ratios of Amazon in the past 5 years are presented in  turn off 2. The liquidity ratios of Amazons competitor, Ebay, are also presented for 2008 and 2009.The three liquidity ratios show Amazon has very good liquidity, which  agency it could easily satisfy  circulating(prenominal) liabilities with  incumbent assets. Comparing to Amazon, Ebay is even more liquid as it could satisfy its short term liabilities purely by  coin and  silver equivalents.   Amazon. com   eBay   2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2009 2008 Current  proportionality (to one) 1. 33 1. 30 1. 39 1. 33 1. 52 1. 57 2. 32 1. 70 Quick Ratio (to one) 1. 04 1. 00 1. 07 0. 99 1. 22 1. 27 2. 32 1. 70 Cash Ratio (Acid Ratio) (to one) 0. 86 0. 79 0. 84 0. 80 1. 04 1. 10 1. 10 0. 86   Table 2     Financial Flexibility Financial flexibility (Solvency and leverage) is a companys ability to adapt to unforeseen events and opportunities. Leverage  center using debt (or other third  par   ty funds) to increase earnings for the owners. Table 3 presents some financial flexibility and leverage ratios of Amazon. com from 2005 to 2009 and for Ebay from 2008 to 2009. Amazon. com is a fast growing company and in the fiscal year end 2004, they had a  shun total equity, which could  skewed the ratios. Therefore, we did not present the ratios in 2004. From table 3 we can see that at the end of fiscal year 2009,  twain Amazon. om and eBay have high financial flexibility due to low or even zero long-term debt. Their usages of leverages are   some(prenominal)(prenominal) low. Although a company should try to  drill leverage to increase earnings for the owner, in the current economical environment, have low or zero long-term debt is  genuinely an advantage, which means they dont need to rely on creditors to maintain their high growth rate. Overall, Amazon. com has good operating capability, high liquidity and high financial flexibility.  one thing to note is that in the current ec   onomy environment, while a  locoweed of companies are seeking for credit  so far they could not find it, Amazon. om is using cash to paying off its debt. This shows that the companys operation is healthy and the management team is confident about the future growth of the company.   Amazon. com   eBay  2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2009 2008 Financial Leverage 2. 8 3. 8 6. 7 11. 9 365. 5 1. 4  Debt to Assets 1% 5% 20% 29% 41% 0% 0% Debt to Equity 2% 15% 107% 289% 618% 0% 0% Debt to Capital 2% 13% 52% 74% 86% 0% 0% Liabilities to Equity 1. 63 2. 11 4. 42 9. 12 14. 02 0. 34 0. 41 Liabilities to Assets 62% 68% 82% 90% 93% 25% 29%    Table 3    Operations and ProfitabilityAs shown in Table 4, we reconciled Amazons NICO as reported to recurring NICO for 2004  2009. The dilute net earnings per  everyday  voice  as reported and recurring NICO per  cat valium share are included too. We also included similar reconciliation for Ebays fiscal year 2009. Table 5 shows the complete disaggregation of pr   ofit  allowance and  check on equity. From the ROE disaggregation we can see that between 2004 and 2009, Amazon. com maintained a gross profit  valuation account between 22% and 24% and operating margin between 3. 6% and 6. 4%. Especially, since 2007, its operating margin stabilized at  most 4. % with a slight increase in 2009. Its profit margin steadily increased 0. 2% each year from 3. 3% to 3. 7%. Amazon. coms ROE  lessen over the years due to their pay  buttocks of most of their debt. Overall, Amazon. com maintained stable operating  cogency in recent years. At the same time, its overall profit efficiency is in a slight uptrend. Amazon. com has negative operating cycle, which means Amazon doesnt pay its suppliers until after it receives the payment of the  sales. Therefore, Amazon doesnt need to  stay fresh  often inventory while it can hold the money for a longer  degree of time. This is the advantage of the online retailing.Its operating cycle decreased from -27. 58 old age in    2006 days to -37. 16 days in 2009, which shows   replace operating efficiency over the years. Amazon. coms operating margin and profit margin both were pretty stable with a slight increase in 2009. We  acquit its profitability continue to maintain at the same level or  reasonably increase. Amazon. coms operating cycle and Asset Turn Over Rate both continue to drop in the past three years (annual rate around 20% and 5% separately), which shows its  make betterment in operating efficiency. We expect Amazon. com continue to improve its operating efficiency.Table 4 Table 5 Business and Investment Risks As a result of our analysis, we discovered the  pursuit business and investment risks that could result in downgrading of Amazons stock. Intense competition  Amazons business is intensely competitive. It has many competitors in different industries, including retail, e-commerce services, digital content and digital media devices, and web services. The intense competition has correspondin   g negative  meeting on prices, which in turn would  stomach profit margins. For example, to compete with Apple, Amazon has to  cut the price of its Ebook reader  Kindle.Weakening of the U. S. or global economies  A softening of  take on caused by a weakening of the U. S. or global economies may result in decreased revenue or growth.  taxation Risks  Currently, Amazon doesnt collect sales or other taxes on shipments of most of its goods into most states in the U. S. This situation could change in the future due to  prescript changes. This could decrease its ability to compete with traditional retailers. Growth Potential and Recommendation As a fast growing company, Amazon. com has a diluted recurring NICO per common share CAGR of 27% over the past  pentad years.The diluted recurring NICO per common share increased 35% in 2009. The sustainable growth rate in 2009 was 23%. We expect Amazon to continue to maintain its growth rate. Therefore, we project the future growth rates of Amazon    to be between 25% and 30%. The two year  take diluted recurring NICO per common share would be between $3. 22 and $3. 48. We project Amazons P/E ration will be around 60. Therefore, the two year target price range for Amazon would be $193 to $209. The closing price of Amazon. com on 02/01/2010 was $118. 87. As the result of the above analysis, our recommendation of Amazon. com is BUY.  
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